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Today on Sunday Face Union This Meet, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) said Christine Blasey Ford’s testimony next week will not change his decision to confirm Brett Kavanaugh, yet another example of what Eliot Cohen described as a crisis among American elites:
Eminent friends are being taken down at the peak of their professional careers by someone who is, in their worlds, a nobody. It’s outrageous, and it has to be stopped. And if, by so doing, you defame a classmate of Kavanaugh’s, accusing him of attempted rape, or effectively threaten to obliterate a graduate student’s career by lending a mob of literature professors the imprimatur of the MLA, so be it. That is the point and that is the sin: the willingness to stomp hard on a defenseless little guy in order to protect your highly privileged pal.
The GOP will take a hit from confirming Kavanaugh, but not with women per se — it’ll be with non-conservative and better-educated women. (In the Fox poll, 44% of white women without college degrees believe Kavanaugh, and only 24% believe Blasey Ford.) I’m sure Republicans are calculating that they’ve already lost a large percentage of the women they’ll anger, but they’ll infuriate and de-motivate their own base if Kavanaugh isn’t approved.
There is a deluge of bad news for Republicans in the latest Fox News poll.
Most voters are unhappy with the direction the country is taking. Majorities disagree with President Trump on the border wall, and extra tax-cut cash is nowhere to be seen. And, by a wide margin, Democrats are considered the party that would better handle health care — at a time when most prioritize health care in deciding their vote for Congress.
With only 44 days until Election Day, maybe the thing that passes for good news for the GOP is that Democrats lead by only seven points in the generic congressional ballot among likely voters. That suggests the battle for control of the House of Representatives could still go either way.
Notably, that 7-point Democratic advantage among likely voters was wider than the edge among registered voters:
“Usually we see Republicans do better when we go from registered voters to likely voters,” says Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducts the poll with Republican Daron Shaw. “That isn’t the case right now, Democrats actually have a larger advantage when we look just at likely voters.”
And FiveThirtyEight’s Janie Velencia notes that polls suggest the gender gap may actually narrow in 2018 … because the GOP edge among men has plummeted in recent polls. Have Republicans overestimated how many men will support blatant misogyny?
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