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Today the Cook Political Report shifted ratings toward Democrats in 21 U.S. House races, despite polls that show the Democrats’ generic ballot advantage shrinking by half since Christmas. Also, NBC reported that Democrats have candidates challenging 101 Republican incumbents, their widest field in over a decade, while a new Quinnipiac poll found 71% of Americans believe Republicans put party over country. In analyzing the midterms, poll mavens routinely note – without alarm or criticism – that Republicans will likely retain a House majority if ‘only’ 53% of voters choose Democrats. Is their blasé response to the GOP’s 6-point electoral ‘cushion’ a sign of our eroding democracy?


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