Someday they’ll invent ear plugs that accommodate ear tufts. By then I’ll probably be deaf. (More)
Not from construction work at BPI. The new Venerable Hall is almost done and you can take a peek. They’re still waiting on the painters and decorators to spiffy up the place, but at least they’re finished with the bulldozers and cement mixers and cranes and saws and hammers. So that’s not my noise problem.
No, my noise problem is the media. Take yesterday’s CBS News headline – Poll: Romney has slight edge over Obama. It’s true that their most recent poll shows presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney leading President Obama 46-43. It’s also true that the CBS/New York Times poll has a 4% margin of error, and the head-to-head preference question has shown them within the 4% margin of error in every month but one. That six-point Obama lead in February is an outlier in an otherwise close national race. The changes within the margin of error look a lot like statistical noise.
Within the poll, President Obama’s declaration of support for marriage equality last week seems like a slight political risk. About six-in-ten voters say that issue will not affect their decision, but President Obama’s support did drop 5% among both independents (he now trails 43-36) and moderates (he still leads 50-39). Two-thirds of voters think the president made the statement “for political reasons” rather than “because he thinks it is right.” That’s hardly surprising, as the media have spent endless hours debating whether it will be a political gain or loss. The poll result seems like a reaction to that media noise.
Overall, the poll found that 62% of Americans support marriage equality or civil unions, with only one-third insisting the law should not recognize LGBT families. The poll also found a marked generation gap, with a majority of voters age 18-44 favoring full marriage equality. The poll also found an experience gap: 60% of Americans have a friend or family member in a committed LGBT relationship, and those who do are more likely to favor marriage equality.
Most Americans rated the economy the most important issue, and there were some cautiously positive numbers for President Obama. While 67% still say the economy is bad, that’s down from 70% last month, 75% in March, and 79% in January. More voters also say the economy is improving: 36% this month, up from 33% in April, 30% in March, and 28% in January.
That is just one poll, of course, but the others are just as noisy. They almost makes me miss the bulldozers and cement mixers and cranes and saws and hammers over at Venerable Hall. Almost.
Good day and good nuts.