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Today both Nate Silver and Paul Krugman wrote about Sandy’s potential impact on the election. Krugman explained vividly why Sandy was not “Obama’s Katrina” – as right-wing pundits have insisted – and that President Obama earned whatever bump the storm provided. But as Silver notes, President Obama was gaining in national and key swing state polls before Sandy, and was never an Electoral College underdog. Did Sandy change the arc of the 2012 presidential election?