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Campus Question – April 21, 2012

April 21, 2012

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Campus Question – April 21, 2012

Tonight’s question, greetings, and social banter here. (More)

Tonight’s Campus Question
Relying on the same data, the New York Times‘ Nicholas Confessore and Derek Willis report that the “Obama Campaign Faces Dropoff in Cash from Major Donors,” while Talking Points Memo‘s Benjy Sarlin reports that “Mitt Romney Trails Barack Obama Big Time With Small Donors” and leads by noting that President Obama has a 10:1 cash-on-hand advantage. As small donor demographics correlate strongly to support in exit polls, which candidate should be more concerned by these two stories?

  • NCrissieB
  • NCrissieB

    The obvious question would be to ask why the New York Times and Talking Points Memo told opposite stories from the same data. Feel free to answer that question if you’d like.

    I asked a different question – which story should worry the candidates most – because this isn’t merely a matter of media coverage. Studies show that small donors are more likely to engage in other political activity for the candidates they support, and are very likely to vote for the candidates they support. Even a $5 donation is enough to induce a sense of commitment. Conversely, big donors often hedge their bets by contributing to both parties.

    Finally, big donors can only give so much to any candidate directly (although they can now contribute unlimited amounts to Super-PACs), so Romney will be tapped out with them soon. Small donors rarely reach (or can afford to reach) the contribution limit and usually make multiple contributions, so President Obama has more contribution potential.

    All in all, these two stories should worry Romney more than the president.

  • I think I’d be more worried if I were Romney. While “big donors” are nice, the fact is that they’re pretty much a one-time deal. Once they’ve given the maximum allowable, you can’t go back to them for more. So while Romney, right now seems to be doing “better” in that category, it also means he doesn’t have those donors down the line. The President’s campaign not only has a lot more donors, they can go back for more if necessary.

    • Gardener

      Will that allowable maximum affect the fat cat, excuse me, corpulent pootie donations to the Super Pacs?

  • addisnana

    As a small donor and active volunteer, I think I am a representative grass roots Obama supporter. I’d rather be Obama than Romney. Do you think super pacs will give Mitt enough money to hire himself a lawn full of grass roots? Is that even possible?

    Money is a different color of green than grass. Yes!